Gardner Webb
W-L: ( 2-15) PR = 71.1305Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 14-15 211 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 4-13 219 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 6-11 225 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 8-12 307 H Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 7- 8 311 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 9-14 313 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 9-14 318 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 2-16 321 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 6-24 328 H Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 7-18 404 A Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 15-12 408 H Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 9-10 411 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 6-10 415 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 4-17 418 A Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 11- 9 422 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 6-13 425 H Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 9-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Austin Peay 14-15 -1 -1 0.46
211 A Campbell 4-13 -9 -12 + 2.97
219 A Kennesaw State 6-11 -5 -5 -0.15
225 A Old Dominion 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.40
307 H Sacred Heart 7- 8 -1 -2 1.27
311 H Butler 9-14 -5 -2 - -3.44
313 H Quinnipiac 9-14 -5 -8 + 3.06
318 A Florida State 2-16 -14 -13 -1.01
321 H UNC-Charlotte 6-24 -18 -6 --- -7.62
328 H Wofford 7-18 -11 -4 --- -7.19
404 A Winthrop 15-12 3 -4 +++ 7.39
408 H Presbyterian 9-10 -1 2 - -2.72
411 A Radford 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.43
415 H Mercer 4-17 -13 -13 -0.02
418 A Longwood 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.08
422 H High Point 6-13 -7 -9 + 2.42
425 H Furman 9-13 -4 -5 0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H UNC-Charlotte 6-24 -18 -6 --- -7.62 328 H Wofford 7-18 -11 -4 --- -7.19 311 H Butler 9-14 -5 -2 - -3.44 408 H Presbyterian 9-10 -1 2 - -2.72 411 A Radford 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Winthrop 15-12 3 -4 +++ 7.39 418 A Longwood 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.08 211 A Campbell 4-13 -9 -12 + 2.97 225 A Old Dominion 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.40 313 H Quinnipiac 9-14 -5 -8 + 3.06 422 H High Point 6-13 -7 -9 + 2.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 14-15 -28.67 11.49 1.37 1.02 -13.91
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 4-13 -18.17 22.00 1.37 1.02 -8.56
3 A Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 6-11 -25.29 14.88 1.37 1.02 -12.19
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 8-12 -23.74 16.43 1.37 1.02 -11.40
3 H Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 7- 8 -25.13 15.04 -1.37 1.02 -13.50
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 9-14 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 1.02 -13.86
3 H Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 9-14 -19.34 20.83 -1.37 1.02 -10.55
3 A Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 2-16 -17.14 23.02 1.37 1.02 -8.04
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 6-24 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 1.02 -11.41
3 H Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 7-18 -23.60 16.57 -1.37 1.02 -12.72
3 A Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 15-12 -25.75 14.42 1.37 1.02 32.18
3 H Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 9-10 -29.12 11.05 -1.37 1.02 -15.53
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 6-10 -28.57 11.60 1.37 1.02 -13.86
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 4-17 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 1.02 -8.04
3 A Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 11- 9 -28.06 12.11 1.37 1.02 27.46
3 H High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 6-13 -17.98 22.19 -1.37 1.02 -9.86
3 H Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 9-13 -22.89 17.28 -1.37 1.02 -12.36
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-116.14
|
winning pts = 59.6415 losing points = -175.7859
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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